Predicting future trends from past results can generally be quite successful; however, the more variables involved, the less accurate the prediction. That’s why this blog post seems a little bit like throwing statistical darts. Nevertheless, the Mortgage Bankers Association threw those darts, and Bill Conerly provided a nice summary for Forbes. Net net? If death rates hold, child bearing age doesn’t change too much, immigration predictions are right, and Millennials throw a monkey wrench, then we could be looking at 1.6 million new units per year over the next decade.


The post Statistical Dart Throwing in Favor of Builders appeared first on Theresa Springer.

Leave a Comment